Weak Labor Market Supports Outlook For Another Rate Cut

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The report carries more weight these days for market sentiment due to the ongoing delay in official payrolls data from the government... By contrast, large firms (50 or more workers) reported a net gain of 90,000 in November... The ADP report “is too loosely correlated with the official data to be troubling,” advises Samuel Tombs, chief US economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics... Paired with...

Macro Briefing: 4 December 2025

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Clean-energy stocks are set to post a strong rebound in 2025, reversing four straight calendar-year losses, notes TMC Research, a unit of The Milwauakee Company, a wealth management firm... A benchmark created by TMC Research that tracks the five biggest alt-energy ETFs is up nearly 37% year to date (through Dec... 2), well ahead of the US stock market overall and a fund that’s a proxy for conv...

Amazon Bedrock adds reinforcement ne-tuning simplifying how developers build smarter, more accurate AI models

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Organizations face a challenging trade-off when adapting AI models to their specific business needs: settle for generic models that produce average results, or tackle the complexity and expense of advanced model customization... Traditional approaches force a choice between poor performance with smaller models or the high costs of deploying larger model variants and managing complex infrastructure...

New serverless customization in Amazon SageMaker AI accelerates model fine-tuning

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Today, I’m happy to announce new serverless customization in Amazon SageMaker AI for popular AI models, such as Amazon Nova, DeepSeek, GPT-OSS, Llama, and Qwen... The new customization capability provides an easy-to-use interface for the latest fine-tuning techniques like reinforcement learning, so you can accelerate the AI model customization process from months to days... With a few clicks, y...

Introducing checkpointless and elastic training on Amazon SageMaker HyperPod

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Today, we’re announcing two new AI model training features within Amazon SageMaker HyperPod: checkpointless training, an approach that mitigates the need for traditional checkpoint-based recovery by enabling peer-to-peer state recovery, and elastic training, enabling AI workloads to automatically scale based on resource availability... Checkpointless training – Checkpointless training elim...

High-Beta Risk Remains Top-Performing Equity Factor In 2025

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As the trading year heads into its final weeks, so-called high-beta shares remain firmly in the lead for US equity risk factors in 2025, based on a set of ETFs through Tuesday’s close (Dec...SPHB’s bull run this year leaves the rest of the factor field in the dust...Meanwhile, small-cap stocks remain laggards in the factor horse race this year... The weakest of the weak: small-...

Macro Briefing: 3 December 2025

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Non-traditional metrics may provide a better way of anticipating a burstring market bubble, reports The Economist: “Surges in Googling do a much better job than valuations at forecasting an imminent fall, as the chart’s third column shows... The rebound above 4% for two key funding-market liquidity rates could be a sign of tighter monetary conditions ahead, according to some analysts...”Wh...