Author: R Jemaiel

Mixed Signals Persist For Risk-On Sentiment Outlook

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After testing support levels in the past two months (see here and here), but never signaling a clear risk-off signal, the ratio for an aggressive mix of global assets (AOA) vs... If this ratio takes out its previous peak, the news will strengthen the case for maintaining a risk-on bias in global strategies... Although the S&P 500 Index closed at a new record high yesterday, a sentiment proxy ...

Macro Briefing: 10 October 2024

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“The stock market is reaching new heights even as assets in money market mutual funds rose to a record $6...62 billion) swap facility to aid the stock market... “The swap facility is designed to provide liquidity support to non-bank financial institutions, and can help lift confidence in the stock market,” says Ming Ming, analyst at Citic Securities... US stocks rallied to a new record high...

Transitioning off Amazon Lookout for Metrics 

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Amazon Lookout for Metrics is a fully managed service that uses machine learning (ML) to detect anomalies in virtually any time-series business or operational metrics—such as revenue performance, purchase transactions, and customer acquisition and retention rates—with no ML experience required... The service, which was launched in March 2021, predates several popular AWS offerings that hav...

Revised Q3 GDP Nowcast Continues To Indicate Solid US Growth

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The upbeat Q3 nowcast reaffirms signals from other economic indicators that downplay recent worries that the US is slipping into recession...Wharton’s Professor Jeremy Siegel also sees “no signs of recession”...”Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs cut its recession risk estimate to 15% after a better-than-expected payrolls report for September...Economic output for the US remains ...

Macro Briefing: 9 October 2024

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“There’s a ceiling to how strong fiscal measures can be before they bring an adverse effect...” Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model estimates US GDP rose by a strong 3... US trade deficit narrowed to smallest gap in five month in August... The storm “poses a major threat to life and property as it hammers the state with destructive storm surge, devastating wind damage, potentially catastrophic f...

Efficient Pre-training of Llama 3-like model architectures using torchtitan on Amazon SageMaker

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This post is co-written with Less Wright and Wei Feng from Meta Pre-training large language models (LLMs) is the first step in developing powerful AI systems that can understand and generate human-like text... By exposing models to vast amounts of diverse data, pre-training lays the groundwork for LLMs to learn general language patterns, world knowledge, and reasoning capabilities... This founda...

Time series forecasting with Amazon SageMaker AutoML

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Additionally, traditional forecasting models often require extensive domain knowledge and manual tuning, which can be time-consuming and complex... SageMaker AutoMLV2 is part of the SageMaker Autopilot suite, which automates the end-to-end machine learning workflow from data preparation to model deployment... We’ll walk through the data preparation process, explain the configuration of the time...