Recession Risk Is Low, But Softer Labor Market Raises Red Flags

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The payrolls data cited above suggests the die has been cast, but weekly jobless claims – a leading indicator for the labor market – have yet to confirm the darker forecasts... Other numbers point to a slowdown in Q3, but even if you favor the lower GDP estimates it seems likely that the worst you can say about the July-through-September period is that the economy slowed, but only moderately....

Macro Briefing: 24 November 2025

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” “We have set the table for a very strong, noninflationary growth economy...” Investors are pondering if bitcoin’s recent sharp decline is a risk-off signal for stocks... Analysis by TMC Research shows a rising correlation between stocks and bitcoin in recent years, which offers a degree of support for using bitcoin as an input in monitoring risk appetite generally... Year-ahead inflation...

Book Bits: 22 November 2025

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By purchasing books through this site, you provide support for The Capital Spectator’s free content...● Overcoming Financial Trauma: How to Break Free from Guilt, Build Wealth, and Redefine Success Rahkim Sabree Summary via publisher (Wiley) In Overcoming Financial Trauma: How to Break Free from Guilt, Build Wealth, and Redefine Success, award-winning financial therapist Rahkim Sabree deliv...

New one-click onboarding and notebooks with a built-in AI agent in Amazon SageMaker Unified Studio

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Today we’re announcing a faster way to get started with your existing AWS datasets in Amazon SageMaker Unified Studio... New updates include: One-click onboarding – Amazon SageMaker can now automatically create a project in Unified Studio with all your existing data permissions from AWS Glue Data Catalog, AWS Lake Formation, and Amazon Simple Storage Services (Amazon S3)... Direct int...

Build production-ready applications without infrastructure complexity using Amazon ECS Express Mode

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Today, I’m excited to announce Amazon ECS Express Mode, a new capability from Amazon Elastic Container Service (Amazon ECS) that helps you launch highly available, scalable containerized applications with a single command... This means you can focus on building applications while deploying with confidence using Amazon Web Services (AWS) best practices... Furthermore, when your applications evo...

Practical steps to minimize key exposure using AWS Security Services

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The exposure and subsequent use of long-term credentials or access keys by threat actors poses security risks in cloud environments... Additionally, poor key rotation practices, sharing of access keys among multiple users, or failing to revoke unused credentials can leave systems exposed... Using long-term credentials is strongly discouraged and presents an opportunity to migrate towards AWS I...

Streamline AI operations with the Multi-Provider Generative AI Gateway reference architecture

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The Multi-Provider Generative AI Gateway features the advanced policy management tools needed to maintain a strong governance posture... The Generative AI Gateway on AWS guidance addresses these challenges by providing guidance for a unified gateway that supports multiple AI providers while offering comprehensive governance and monitoring capabilities... This guidance combines the broad model acc...